Tropical Meteorology Group Publications (1995 - )
1995
- Jones, S. C., 1995: The evolution of vortices in vertical
shear: I: initially barotropic vortices. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,121, 821-851.
- Kraus, A., R. K. Smith, and W. Ulrich, 1995: The barotropic
dynamics of tropical cyclone motion in a large-scale deformation field. Beitr.
Phys. Atmos., 68, 249-261.
- M. T. Montgomery, and L. J. Shapiro, 1995: Generalized Charney-Stern and Fjortoft
theorems for rapidly rotating vortices. J. Atmos. Sci., 52,
1829-1833.
- Reeder, M. J., D. R. Christie, R. K. Smith, and R. Grimshaw,
1995: Nonlinear waves and bores over northern Australia. Bull. Amer. Meteor.
Soc., 123, 1165-1171.
- Shapiro, L. J., and J. L. Franklin, 1995: Potential vorticity in Hurricane
Gloria. Mon. Wea. Rev., 123, 1465-1475.
- Smith, R. K., M. J. Reeder, N. J. Tapper, and D.R.
Christie, 1995: Central Australian cold fronts. Mon. Wea. Rev.,123,
16-38.
- Smith, R. K., H. C. Weber and A. Kraus, 1995: On the
symmetric circulation of a moving hurricane. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc.,
121, 945-952.
- Weber, H. C., and R. K. Smith, 1995: Data sparsity and
the tropical cyclone analysis and prediction problem: some simulation experiments
with a barotropic model. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 121, 631-654.
1996
- Glatz, A., and R. K. Smith, 1996: Vorticity asymmetries
in Hurricane Josephine (1984). Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 122,
391-413.
- Goldenberg, S. B., and L. J. Shapiro, 1996: Physical mechanisms for the association
of El Nino and West African rainfall with Atlantic major hurricane activity.
J. Climate, 9, 1169-1187.
- Shapiro, L. J, 1996: The motion of Hurricane Gloria: A potential vorticity
diagnosis. Mon. Wea. Rev., 124, 2497-2508.
1997
- Dengler, K., and M. J. Reeder, 1997: The effects of convectionand
baroclinicity on the motion of tropical-cyclone-like vortices. Quart. J.
Roy. Meteor. Soc., 123, 699-727.
- Dengler, K., 1997: A numerical study of the effects of
land proximity and changes in sea surface temperature on hurricane tracks. Quart.
J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 123, 1307-1321.
- Menhofer, A., R. K. Smith, M. J. Reeder, and D. R. Christie,
1997: Morning Glory disturbances and the environment in which they propagate.
J. Atmos. Sci., 54 , 1712-1725.
- Menhofer, A., R. K. Smith, M. J. Reeder, and D. R. Christie,
1997: The bore-like character of three morning glories observed during the Central
Australian Fronts Experiment. Aust. Met. Mag., 46, 277-285.
- Smith, R. K., 1997: On the theory of CISK. Quart.
J. Roy. Meteor. Soc., 123, 407-418.
- Smith, R. K. (Ed.), 1997: The physics and parameterization
of moist atmospheric convection. NATO Science Series. Kluwer, Dortrecht,
498pp.
1998
- Callaghan, J., and R. K. Smith, 1998: The relationship
between maximum surface wind speeds and central pressure in tropical cyclones.
Aust. Met. Mag. 47, 191-202.
- Dengler K., and R. K. Smith, 1998: A monsoon depression
over northwestern Australia. Part II: A numerical model study. Aust. Met.
Mag., 47, 135-144.
- Hell, R. M., and R. K. Smith, 1998: A monsoon depression
over northwestern Australia. Part I: A case study. Aust. Met. Mag., 47,
21-40.
- Möller, J. D. and S. C. Jones, 1998: Potential vorticityinversion
for tropical cyclones using the asymmetric balance theory. J.Atmos. Sci.,
55, 259-282.
- Reeder, M. J., and R. K. Smith, 1998: Mesoscale
meteorology in the Southern Hemisphere. Chapter 5 of Meteorology of
the Southern Hemisphere. Ed. D. J. Karoly and D. Vincent. American
Meteorological Society Monograph, No. 49, 201-241.
- Shapiro, L. J., and S. B. Goldenberg, 1996: Atlantic sea surface temperatures
and hurricane formation. J. Climate., 11, 578-590.
- Smith, R. K., and A. Glatz, 1998: The detection of hurricaneasymmetries
from aircraft reconnaissance flight data: some simulation experiments. Quart.
J. Roy. Met. Soc., 124, 2715-2728.
- Smith R. K., and J. A. Noonan, 1998: On the generation
of low-level mesoscale convergence lines over northeastern Australia. Mon.Wea.
Rev. 126, 167-185.
1999
- Möller J. D., and M. T. Montgomery, 1999: Vortex
Rossby waves and hurricane intensification in a barotropic model. J. Atmos.
Sci., 56, 1674-1687.
- Montgomery M. T., J. D. Möller and C. T. Nicklas,
1999: Linear and nonlinear vortex motion in an asymmetric balance shallow water
model. J. Atmos. Sci., 56, 749-768.
- Rácz, Zs., and R. K. Smith, 1999: The dynamics
of heat lows. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc., 125, 225-252.
- Shapiro, L. J., and J. L. Franklin, 1999: Potential vorticity asymmetries and
tropical cyclone motion. Mon. Wea. Rev., 127, 124-131.
2000
- Davidson, N. E., and H. C. Weber, 2000: The BMRC high-resolution
tropical cyclone prediction system: TC-LAPS. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128,
1245-1265.
- Jones, S. C., 2000: The evolution of vortices in vertical
shear. II: Large-scale asymmetries. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. 126,
3137-3159.
- Jones, S. C., 2000: The evolution of vortices in vertical
shear. III: Baroclinic vortices. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc. , 126,
3161-3185.
- Juckes, M., and R. K. Smith, 2000: Convective destabilization
by tropical upper-level troughs. Quart. J. Roy Met. Soc., 126,
111-123.
- Möller J. D., and M. T. Montgomery, 2000: Tropical
cyclone evolution via potential vorticity anomalies in a three-dimensional balance
model. J. Atmos. Sci., 57, 3366-3387.
- Peristeri, M., W. Ulrich, and R. K. Smith, 2000: Genesis
conditions for thunderstorm growth and the development of a squall line in the
northern alpine foreland. Meteor. Atmos. Phys., 72, 251-260.
- Reeder, M. J., R. K. Smith, R. Deslandes, N. J. Tapper,
and G. A. Mills, 2000: Subtropical fronts observed during the 1996 Central Australian
Fronts Experiment. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 49, 181-200.
- Shapiro, L. J., 2000: Potential vorticity asymmetries
and tropical cyclone evolution in a three-layer model. J. Atmos. Sci.,
57, 3645-3662.
- Smith, R. K., W. Ulrich, and G. Sneddon, 2000: The dynamics
of hurricane-like vortices in vertical shear flows. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor.
Soc., 130, 126, 2653-2670.
- Smith, R. K., 2000: The role of cumulus convection in
hurricanes and its representation in hurricane models. Rev. Geophys.,
38, 465-489.
- Thorncroft, C. D., and S. C. Jones, 2000: The extratropical
transitions of hurricanes Felix and Iris in 1995. Mon. Wea. Rev., 128,
947-972.
- Weber, H. C., 2000: A numerical study of tropical-cyclone
structure. Quasi-stationary spiral bands. Quart. J. Roy. Meteor. Soc.,
125, 811-836.
- Aust. Meteor. Mag., 49,
1-21.
2001
- Weber, H. C., 2001: Hurricane track prediction with a
new barotropic model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 129, 1834-1858.
- Zhu, H., R. K. Smith, and W. Ulrich, 2001: A minimal
three-dimensional tropical cyclone model. J. Atmos. Sci., 58,
1924-1944.
- Smith, R. K., G. Garden, J. Molinari and B. R. Morton,
2001: Proceedings of an International Workshop on the Dynamics and Forecasting
of Tropical Weather Systems. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 82, 2825-2829.
2002
- Möller J. D., and L. J. Shapiro, 2002: Balanced contributions to the intensification
of Hurricane Opal as diagnosed from a GFDL model forecast. Mon. Wea. Rev.,
130, 1866-1881.
- Nguyen, C. M., R. K. Smith, H. Zhu, and W. Ulrich, 2002: A minimal axisymmetric
hurricane model. Quart. J. Roy Meteor. Soc., 128, 2641-2661.
- Jackson, G. E., R. K. Smith and T. Spengler, 2002: The prediction of low-level
mesoscale convergence lines over northeastern Australia. Aust. Meteor. Mag.,
51, 13-23.
- Preissler, M., M. J. Reeder and R. K. Smith, 2002: A case study of a heat low
over central Australia. Aust. Meteor. Mag., 51, 155-163.
- W. Ulrich, R. K. Smith and C. M. Nguyen, 2002: Comparison of an axisymmetric
hurricane model with the corresponding slab-symmetric ITCZ model. Quart.
J. Roy Met. Soc. 128, 2335-2347..
- Zhu, H., and R. K. Smith, 2002: The importance of three physical processes
in a three-dimensional tropical cyclone model. J. Atmos. Sci.,
59, 1825-1840.
2003
- Jones, S. C., P. A. Harr, J. Abraham, L. F. Bosart, P. J. Bowyer, J. L. Evans,
D. E. Hanley, B. Hanstrum, R. E. Hart, F. Lalaurette, M. R. Sinclair, R. K.
Smith, and C. D. Thorncroft, 2003: The extratropical transition of tropical
cyclones: forecasting challenges, current understanding and future directions.
Wea. Forecasting, accepted for publication.
- Reichmann, Zs., and R. K. Smith, 2003: Terrain influences on
the dynamics of heat lows. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc. (In press).
- Shapiro, L. J., and J. D. Möller, 2003: Influence of atmospheric asymmetries
on the intensification of Hurricane Opal: Piecewise PV inversion diagnosis of
a GFDL model forecast. Mon. Wea. Rev., (In press).
- Smith, R. K., 2003: A simple model of hurricane boundary layer.
Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc. (In press)
- Weber, H. C., 2003: Hurricane track prediction using a statistical ensemble
of numerical models. Mon. Wea. Rev. (in press).
- Zhu, H., and R. K. Smith, 2003: Effects of vertical differencing
in a minimal hurricane model. Quart. J. Roy. Met. Soc. (In press).
Last modified
28-Feb-2003